To succeed as a buyer in today’s market, it’s important to understand which market trends will have the greatest impact on your home search. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist atrealtor.com,saysthere are two factors every buyer should keep their eyes on:
“Going forward, the conditions buyers face are primarily dependent on two things:mortgage rates and housing supply.”
Here’s a look at each one.
Mortgage Rates Projected To Rise in 2022
As a buyer, your interest rate directly impacts how much you’ll pay on your monthly mortgage when you purchase a home. Rates arebeginning to rise, and expertsforecastthey’ll continue going up in 2022(see graph below):As the graph shows, mortgage rates are expected to climb next year. But they’restill lowwhen you compare to where they were just a few years ago. That presents today’s buyers with somemotivationto lock in a low mortgage rate before they climb higher.
More Homes Are Expected To Be Available This Season
The other market condition buyers need to monitor is the number of homes available for sale today. The latestExisting Home Sales Reportfrom theNational Association of Realtors(NAR) shows the current supply of inventory sits at just 2.4-months. To put that into perspective, a6-month supplyis ideal for a balanced market where there are enough homes to meet buyer demand.
However, there may be good news for buyers who are waiting for more options. A recentrealtor.comsurveyshows more sellers are planning tolist their homesthis winter, meaning more choices will likely be available soon.
What Does That Mean for You?
Even if your options improve some this season, it won’t significantly shift market conditions overnight. According to NAR, many more listings need to be available to move closer to a moreneutral market:
“Given the average monthly demand . . . , 3.55 million homes should be on the market to meet a level of inventory equal to six months of demand,implying a shortage of homes for sale of 2.24 million.”
So remember, even with more homes expected to come to market this season,competitionamong buyers will remain fierce as there still won’t be enough homes for sale to meet the current demand.That means you’ll need to act quickly when you’re ready to make anoffer.
If you’re planning on buying a home this winter, more options are welcome news, but it doesn’t mean you should slow down. Let’s connect today so you have an expert on your side to help act as quickly as possible when the right home for you hits the market.
Author:Brian Woodhead -Skyline Team Leader Phone: 602-369-0671 Dated: December 20th 2021 Views: 55 About Brian Woodhead: Realtor Designation
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